5. Thou Shall Wait on Thy Quarterback


Last Updated: Jul 22, 2019 11:56 AM


10 Commandments for Winning at Fantasy Football

This is the fifth in a series of articles geared toward winning at fantasy football. To find more content on useful ways you can win your league, click here

5th Commandment - Thou Shall Wait on Thy Quarterback

If you plan right, he will come.  Try and be one of the last guys in your league to get a QB1, use your FF Champ's Draft Tracker, and wait until almost everyone else in your league has their starter.  Almost every year the top tier of QB's goes way too early, in 2019 we are talking about Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, and DeShaun Watson.  Once those guys go off there will be a run for the likes of  Baker Mayfield, Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Carson Wentz, and Matt Ryan.

Once these teams take their first QB they are usually a little behind at either running back or receiver and won't take their second QB for a while; this gives you even more time. 

If you just look at the pure number of quality QB's out there, this theory holds water.  All you need is any of the top 8-12 QB's, and he will score enough points at the position to keep you in the league.  But the value that you added to your roster in the meantime, mainly at RB and WR in those earlier rounds, will carry you to the Playoffs.  By waiting on QB we get to build hopefully the strongest WR  or RB corps in our league.

Worst case scenario, the two QB's we took will be average and we will play matchups to squeeze a little more out of them.  Best case scenario is one of them plays like a top 5 QB, effectively making him a 3-6 round pick, if you compare him to where the other QB's were taken.

The point is – wait for a QB. You may not end up with the most exciting QB on the field like  Mahomes or Rodgers, but what's more exciting – having the best QB, or hoisting the trophy at the end of the year?  So let the other guys waste early picks on Rodgers  and you sit back and wait for a guy that won't underperform by that much.  But you see if they can find a Running Back or Wide Receiver who will perform like the guys you take in the 2nd through 4th rounds.

Need proof of this concept? Think of how late Patrick Mahomes was drafted in 2018. He ended up throwing 50 TDs, winning the league MVP and winning a lot of people fantasy football championships. But the point is, he was a LATE round pick in Fantasy Football. Talking after Round 12 in nearly every league. Not a year later Mahomes is going in the middle to late 2nd round. There's no value there. He was perhaps the best value pick of all time in 2018, Double Digit round ADP and threw for 50 TDs. Now he's a mid 2nd round pick and the likelihood of him throwing 50 TDs ever again is very slim (50 or more TDs has only happened three times). Meanwhile all the people that drafted Aaron Rodgers or Cam Newton early in 2018 lost out on great running back and wide receiver selections whole the person that drafted Mahomes not only capitalized on a great QB but also loaded up early on with RBs and WRs.

 ***DISCLAIMER – There are certain leagues where we DO NOT advocate waiting this long on QBs, and sometimes in fact we go after them early. We touched on this in the 1st Commandment, but here are the examples:

-Any league that starts QBs even those with a Super Flex. I make sure to not only NOT wait on a QB, I try to take 2 early. Maybe even 2 within the first 3 rounds, as I want a decided advantage over my competition every week at that position.

 

1st Commandment: Know Thy Scoring System

2nd Commandment: Thou Shall Stick To Thy Tiers

3rd Commandment: Thou Shall Avoid Bad Players from Bad Teams

4th Commandment: Thou Shall Draft Players From The Next Great Offenses

5th Commandment: Thou Shall Wait on Thy Quarterback

6th Commandment:Thou Shall Covet Thy Stud Wide Receiver

7th Commandment: Thou Must Draft Thy Stud's Backup

8th Commandment: Thou Shall Not Draft Two Studs From the Same Team

9th Commandment: Thou Shall NOT Draft a Kicker or a Team Defense Too Early

10th Commandment: Thou Shall Start Your Studs



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